![]() ![]() ![]() Interrupted time series analysesģ Figure 1 Retrieving data from printed ITS graphs If an appropriate interrupted time series (ITS) analysis is not reported, but data are presented graphically, the data that are needed can be extracted by using one of many freely available programs for reading values from graphs, such as for example: PlotDigitizer ( xyextract ( or Enguage ( Organising data Example Healthcare acquired infections are a big and costly problem. A negative change in level and slope would indicate a reduction in, for example, infection rates. According to Ramsay 2003, a change in level is defined as the difference between the observed level at the first intervention time point and that predicted by the pre-intervention time trend, and a change in trend is defined as the difference between post- and pre-intervention slopes. Estimates for regression coefficients corresponding to two standardised effect sizes are obtained: a change in level (also called step change ) and a change in trend before and after the intervention. The analysis estimates the effect of the intervention whilst taking account of time trend and autocorrelation among the observations. A depiction of the general elements of a segmented time-series regression analysis is presented in Figure 1 below. If there are any doubts about the robustness of the analysis, a statistician should be consulted. Re-analysis of data where the effects may be suspected to pertain to seasonality or to the normal decrease after an outbreak situation (see Appendix 1) must be approached with caution. If the data in the original paper are presented in tables or graphs, with at least three data points before and three data points after the intervention, and a clearly defined intervention point, re-analysis using segmented time series regression techniques (as described below) is a possibility. Solely comparing the means before and after an intervention, without taking into account any secular trends, may result in overestimations (or underestimations) of the intervention effect (3). However, inappropriate analyses of time series data are consistently identified in original papers evaluating quality improvement strategies, which often have used a simple beforeafter comparison of the intervention effect at a single intervention site (2). ![]() Time series analysis using ARIMA models is one way of analysing the data, but there are a number of statistical techniques that can be used depending on the characteristics of the data, the number of data points available and whether autocorrelation is present (3). ![]() The preferred method to analyse ITS studies is a statistical comparison of time trends before and after the intervention (see Figure1). ITS studies may be acceptable for inclusion in EPOC systematic reviews if appropriately analysed or if re-analysed. 9 Interpreting the results and drawing conclusions Frequently asked questions (FAQ) References Interrupted time series analysesĢ Introduction In interrupted time series (ITS) studies data are collected at multiple time points before and after an intervention in order to detect whether or not the intervention had a significantly greater effect than any underlying secular trend (1). 3 Analysing data (using SPSS/PASW Statistics). 2 Retrieving data from printed ITS graphs. 1 Interrupted time series (ITS) analyses Table of Contents Introduction. ![]()
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![]() ![]() You can find Jake and Nicole on their YouTube channel, where they vlog their experiences. He is growing up without the typical negative influence that children experience in this age of Ipads and social media. While the way Jake and Nicole live is certainly unconventional, it can also be hugely beneficial for their child. One thing that they do to help with this is using cloth diapers, which are a much better alternative to the disposable ones most people use.įor more examples of raising children in this kind of lifestyle, you can look at JerryRigEverything’s baby. However, they’re now back at their home in the Canadian wilderness, bringing up their child in an eco-friendly and sustainable way. When Nicole was about 7 months pregnant, they briefly moved closer to civilization to make sure the birth was successful. Raising a Familyīecause Jake and Nicole are so committed to off-grid living, they want to raise their family on their homestead. Nicole is also well-known for her herbal mixtures, and even uses plants to dye clothing. They aim to plant 100 fruit trees so that their home will continue to provide them with more than enough food to survive. This allows them to harvest a lot of their own vegetables and reduce the number of supplies that they have to transport to their home. In line with their goal to be entirely self-sufficient, Jake and Nicole have planted a substantial garden. You can find out more about this on Kyle’s Cabin YouTube and by looking into Erik Granvists’s cabin. There are also a lot of different people living in cabins. ![]() If RV living is something that interests you, look into the Love Your RV blog to understand the options better. They have done this building by themselves.īuilding a home from scratch isn’t for everyone, and there are other sustainable options that break from the norm, such as moving into an RV. Over time, they have built wood cabin extensions to their yurt to allow for more space. This was partly inspired by Jake’s experience staying in a yurt in Mongolia. Instead of opting for a ready-made home, they chose to live in a yurt. While they needed to clear an area to build their home, they’re also conscious of the environment and seek to have as small of a footprint as they can. There were also no houses in the area where they are living, but rather a dense wild forest. If more people start using solar energy in their homes, the difference adds up.īecause of their choices, Jake and Nicole didn’t want to live in a traditional house. It is important to remember that small actions are better than no actions. Including a solar system, like these 200-watt solar panels, can significantly reduce your electricity bill while also helping to save the environment. You do not need to want to be totally off-grid to get into solar energy. Going with a company like greatly simplified the process of switching to solar energy. This might seem unachievable for most people, but you can get off-grid solar systems from This means that they must rely on clean energy sources like solar and wind. In fact, their home is located on North Vancouver Island and is only accessible by boat. This is made easier by the fact that they’re so remote that there’s no grid to connect to. One of their significant focuses is being off-grid, which means not being connected to a municipal power supply. While not all of us can leave behind our lives for the Canadian wilderness, Jake and Nicole provide a sense of escapism and fantasy about a different way of living. ![]() It’s life stripped down to the basics, without the many complications that come with city living. There’s a certain serenity to their lifestyle. However, their videos can be appealing to people who feel overwhelmed by the pace of modern life. They make it clear that their lifestyle is not an easy one and showcase a lot of the hard work that goes into making things work. One of their major priorities is sustainability, and you can learn a lot from watching their YouTube videos.Īnother major selling point of their channel is the sense of peace you get from watching their simple lifestyle. They focus on simple living and being at one with the natural world. ![]() ![]() ![]() Not only do I get real time updates, but all the information is compiled in one place by linking my bank accounts and credit cards. I have recently moved to using Personal Capital to automatically track my budget on a daily basis. Tracking it this way took a lot of time to gather my expense information every month and was a little painstaking to enter in all the numbers. I used a simple Excel spreadsheet to track my budget for many years. While these are a starting point, you’ll need to tailor the spreadsheets to best fit your actual monthly budget. Add categories that your expenses fall in to and adjust your income to fit your life. If you prefer to use Google Docs, they also have sample budget templates to get you started.Įither way, you can start with a sample budget worksheet and then adjust it to fit your needs. Microsoft Excel does have budget templates available that you can use as a starting point. This can help you visualize your data in a way that makes the most sense to you. If you know a little bit about using Excel or Google Docs, you can build your own budget spreadsheet. With varying layouts and designs, it is easy to calculate your budget for anything you need. Use these different templates to visualize and track your expenses for your family or personal budget. Vertex42 offers a variety of free budget templates that can be used with Microsoft Excel or Google Sheets. This obviously is a great way to simplify the budgeting process and not have to manually type in numbers.Ĭheck out the Tiller Budget Spreadsheet Integrations From there, you can manipulate the data to see exactly what you need. This allows you to automatically export your financial information from your bank and import it into a Google Sheet. Tiller is a company that provides a unique service of being able to integrate your bank account with Google Sheets. Get the It’s Your Money Budget Spreadsheets Use these to budget for household expenses, loan payoff, and future expenses. ![]() The variety in the spreadsheets help to cover a wide range of budgeting purposes. These provide a few different ways to visualize your budget so that it makes the most sense to you. It’s Your Money put together a list of different free budget templates that use cash flow and box methods. It’s Your Money Budget Excel Spreadsheets It lists a variety of different categories of expenses to get you thinking about what you spend money on. Just use this worksheet to fill in your monthly income and any expenses that you paid money for. ![]() Similar to the worksheet, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, or CFPB, also provides a simple PDF worksheet to track your monthly expenses. Use this knowledge to find areas to cut costs and save more.ĭownload the Couple Wealth Budget Spreadsheet templateĬonsumer Financial Protection Bureau Budget Worksheet The spreadsheet will automatically calculate your total monthly spend, along with savings rate. We included all of our main income and expense sources, but feel free to add your own. We created out own monthly budget tracker in Excel as a way to better understand our monthly expenses. Mint offers free downloads of their daycare budget template, student and college budget templates, and home budget spreadsheets.ĭownload the Mint Sample Budget Templates In addition to the normal sample budget template, they also have a few other varieties based on your needs. Mint has an app and various tools for personal finances, but they also have a great budget template to get you started. ![]() Just download the PDF version and start filling in your numbers. The Federal Trade Commission, or FTC, has put together a budget worksheet that is super simple to use. This helps to determine if your money would be better suited being diverted somewhere else.ĭownload the Budget Spreadsheetsīudgeting is so important to building financial wealth that the government even offers tools for learning. The spreadsheet also automatically calculates your income allocation like financial institutions. They have a few different versions to make it simple to track your monthly budget. has a great budget tracking spreadsheet that you can download for Excel or Google Docs. ![]() ![]() Thank you for any and all assistance in the issue. Linux users may also download the software on their devices. It has a separate client for Windows 7 or older OS, as well as for Windows 8 and 10. I have taken photos of the Mac Book Pro data information from System Preferences but am concerned that I will not be able to know what data or files that are not in the iCloud data and that I will therefore not be able to retrieve all data/files in this iCloud/external hard drive transfer. Adobe Flash Player is available on Mac OS. I had purchased a new Mac 24” desktop and was hoping to install data & files from that G-drive mini external hard drive and the support rep recommended that I initially set the new Mac up as a new device and to reinstall my data via iCloud first & then drag, from the G-drive mini external hard drive (omitting the Flash Player) any files or data that are missing from the iCloud data/files. Note, however, that support for Adobe Flash Player will be ending in 2020 these instructions work for now, but they may soon become outdated once Adobe ends the service. The Apple support rep then conferred with a supervisor who recommends that the G-drive mini external hard drive backups that I have could be compromised by this issue. Download free trials and updates for Adobe products including Creative Cloud, Photoshop, InDesign, Illustrator, Acrobat Pro, and many more. A Mac telephone support rep could not help me find that Flash Player file on the Mac Book Pro and was concerned that when I did select to uninstall the Flash Player I was sent to an Adobe website and was instructed to download an uninstall file which she advised me not to download. Download free trials and updates for Adobe products including Creative Cloud, Photoshop, InDesign, Illustrator, Acrobat Pro, and many more. ![]() ![]() ![]() I repeatedly receive a pop up message on my desktop iMac to uninstall Adobe Flash Player since it no longer is supported by Adobe. ![]() ![]() ![]() You can play live against other players.The score is automatically tracked for you.Still, it's improbable that every game of solitaire could be winnable, especially considering the randomness of the cards and the sensitivity of each move.Play unlimited games of Yahtzee for free. Some variations could be easier to win than others. Is it possible to win every game of Solitaire that you play? Developing a winning strategy is the more challenging part.ģ. The rules of solitaire are pretty simple to understand, especially if one already has experience playing card games. However, more versions could be invented due to the game's simplicity and the many rule combinations one could make. There are over 500 variations of Solitaire. How many versions of Solitaire are there? They don't usually help reveal hidden cards, either, so it's best to set them aside as soon as possible.ġ. Revealing the cards in stacks or columns will give you better chances of getting cards that could help you out when building your sequences. Do you remember? Solitaire is all about patience. The most crucial thing is to take your time and never rush. Some moves could become irreversible, making you unable to continue the game, so think about possible consequences or outcomes for each move you make. One of the best ways to improve your solitaire-playing skills is by educating yourself about gameplay strategies.īe mindful about each action you take. You win after all the card are placed in the foundation.ģ Tips and Reminders for Winning at Solitaire.The player may use the cards on the stock pile to help them build sequences.If there is an empty space on the tableau, only a king can fill it.If more than one card is face up on a pile, you can move them together. For example, you can play a red four on a black five. You can place any movable card on another one that is higher in rank and with the opposite color.The four aces in the deck will serve as the foundations that you place in a row above your initial 28 cards as soon as they become available.The rest of the cards will rest on a stock pile in your upper left hand. The top card on each pile stays facing up, while the others are face-down cards. The first pile would have one card the second one would have two the third pile would have three, and so on. Deal 28 cards in seven piles across your table.The goal is to build the four suits into a foundation of aces. You will need a standard deck to play a classic klondike game. Moreover, it's the version you can find on nearly every Microsoft computer since 1990, further cementing its place in modern culture. ![]() How to Play SolitaireĬlassic Solitaire, also known as klondike solitaire, is arguably the most popular form of solitaire today. Queen Victoria's German husband, Prince Albert, was notably fond of patience games. Some game variations have also been called patience, especially in England, Germany, and Portugal. This is also supported by the use of the alternative term "cabale", which originated from the Medieval Latin "caballa", meaning secret knowledge. The card game Solitaire likely originated from cartomancy or tarot as an early form of fortune telling due to how cards are laid out in both practices. However, this was a different game as it used pegs instead of cards. One of the first documented references to the word "solitaire" was in a 17th-century engraving featuring Anne-Joulie de Rohan-Chabot, Princess Soubise, playing solitaire. The origins of the game are a little hazy. The game involves arranging a shuffled deck of cards into a specified order or tableau, no matter the variation. Solitaire is the collective term for hundreds of card games and activities requiring only one person. ![]() ![]() “The reason given is to help develop filters and recommendations, but there are much darker uses, including behavioural profiling and targeting,” Fielding says. This could potentially include your profile information and content you create even if you don’t share it with TikTok, contents of the clipboard, and typing patterns. It doesn’t really go into detail about what data and why.”īecause TikTok is not being specific about which data is going where, Fielding says you “have to assume it could be anything”. TikTok now has a kids-only mode and under 16 profiles are private by default.įor example, she says: “The privacy policy says TikTok Ireland and UK are the joint controllers but later it also says data may be shared with the rest of the corporate group. In 2019, the US Federal Trade Commission fined ByteDance $5.7 million for collecting information from under 13s in violation of the Children's Online Privacy Protection Act, leading to a similar investigation in the UK. Nearly half of all people on TikTok are aged between 16 and 24, and some are even younger. The app has come under fire for moderation and content issues, as well as its ability to influence through a powerful recommendations algorithm. Yet TikTok’s rapid rise has also led to regulatory and competitive scrutiny. ![]() ![]() Today, the social network has more than one billion users, double that of Snapchat and Twitter combined, with TikTok stars making up to $5 million a year on the platform. The result was TikTok, the wildly popular short video app that’s now one of the most downloaded apps in the world. In August 2018, Chinese company ByteDance bought video startup Musical.ly and fused it with another app. ![]() ![]() ![]() Sew from the inside to the outside of this arm and back through the body again, pulling the thread taut. Return the needle back through the body and into one arm. Insert the needle right through to the other side of the body, emerging at the opposite marked dot. Take a very long piece of double or extra strong thread on a long doll needle and sew into the marked dot on one side, leaving a long tail that will be used to tie off the thread. Pin the arms 10mm down from the neck seam and midway across the body side seam. Stuff more lightly towards the top of the leg, where it will be attached to the body.Īttaching your memory bear's legs and arms Step 1 Sew one side up to the seam, then pivot and sew down the other side. Tack, then sew slowly, from the top side, using a small stitch length. Pin at those two points first, then add more pins along the sides. Line up the centre marks of the Foot Pad with the seams of the leg. ![]() Place one Foot Pad piece at the bottom of the leg, with the RS facing in. Leave a gap in the outer side for turning. Tack and sew down to the Foot Pad mark on each side. Pin a pair of Inner and Outer Leg pieces RS together. Stuff firmly into the paws and most of the arm, leaving slightly lighter stuffing towards the top. Sew this piece RS together with an Outer Arm, leaving a gap in the side for turning. RS together, pin and sew a Paw Pad to an Inner Arm. Press and stuff, starting at the nose and gradually filling the head, then down through the neck and body. ![]() Turn the body RS out through the turning gap at the back of the body. Sew around two or three times to make the head secure. If easier, sew by hand, using a very small backstitch. Keeping the body turned wrong side (WS) out, push the turned out head top first into the body cavity, matching the seam at the front of the neck to the front centre seam of the body. Pin and sew these two new pieces RS together. Repeat to sew the second pair of Body pieces, this time leaving a turning gap, to form the back of the body. Pin and sew a pair of Body pieces down the centre seam, from point E to F, to form the front of the body. Position each one so about one third is above the head gusset seam and two thirds below it. Insert an ear on each side of the head, sandwiched between the layers. Match the centre seam of the back of the head with the middle point of the Head Gusset. Then pin this piece RS together to the front of the head, leaving the neck end open. Pin and sew the Head Back pieces down their centres, RS together, from A to D.Ĭlip into the curve. Pin and sew down the front of the head, from point B to point C, RS together. Take the opposite Head Side piece and sew it to the opposite side of the Head Gusset piece, from A to B, meeting the first seam on the other side. Match pieces at point A, and pin to point B at the front of the Head Gusset. Pin the Head Gusset RS together with the Head Side. Clip notches, trim the seams and turn RS out. Pin a pair of Inner and Outer Ear pieces right sides (RS) together. Making your memory bear's ears and head Step 1 If you enjoy making toys, you might also want to take a look at Lucy’s teddy bear pattern, lamb sewing pattern and reindeer pattern. Your step by step memory bear sewing pattern guide You will need: If you're new to sewing, take a look at our sewing for beginners and how to use a sewing machine guides before you get started. Add iron-on interfacing to all pattern pieces, particularly when using fabrics of different weights or with stretch.Download the memory bear pattern templates.What you need to make Lucy's memory bear sewing pattern Notes Read on to make our memory bear pattern for free with our step-by-step guide… ![]() You can use fabrics of all kinds to make this adorable little memory bear pattern from old babygrows to baby sleeping bags. By making this memory bear sewing pattern you'll be preserving your child's old garments and give them a toy that they'll treasure as they get older. Sew a special keepsake bear made from clothes that hold precious memories with Lucy Ward's memory bear pattern.Īs children grow older, it can be a wrench to give away their baby clothes or stash their old bedding away in the attic. ![]() ![]() ![]() Increased competitiveness: With the AimFury™ Aimbot, players can compete more effectively against others, which can make the game more enjoyable.Customizable settings: The software’s customizable settings make it easy for users to adapt the software to their individual gaming style.Improved aim: The AimFury™ Aimbot helps players to aim more accurately and consistently, giving them an edge over their opponents.It also means that players can adjust the software’s settings to help them with different weapons and environments. This allows them to fine-tune the software to match their individual gaming style. Users can adjust the software’s settings to suit their personal preferences. What’s more, the AimFury™ Aimbot is designed to be customizable. Once these calculations are completed, the software adjusts the player’s crosshair to compensate for all these variables. It calculates the player’s bullet trajectory and accounts for other variables. When playing Fortnite, the AimFury™ Aimbot analyses the game environment and the movements of other players. This allows them to hit their targets with greater accuracy and consistent results. Essentially, the software helps players compensate for things like recoil, bullet drop, and wind direction. The AimFury™ Aimbot uses advanced algorithms to assist players with their aim. This software is designed to help players enhance their gaming experience by providing them with a more accurate aim. ![]() This is where the AimFury™ Aimbot comes in. However, some players often resort to cheating in order to gain an advantage over other players. ![]() The goal of the game is to be the last player or team standing. How AimFury™ Aimbot Works with Fortnite Introductionįortnite is a popular online game that requires players to compete against each other in a battle royale mode. ![]() ![]() Suppose there is a 38-level right downward wind as the arrow showing in the following pic (Every 15 levels of wind, the landing point will be one ring farther from the center), then a 38-level rightward wind means your land point will be moved to around the white point place. Without the wind effect, your land point should be at the center green dot. Suppose there is a 17-level left downward wind as the arrow showing in the following pic (Every 6 levels of wind, the landing point will be one ring FARTHER from the center), then a 17-level rightward wind means your land point will be moved to around the white point place. AmbitECs How to Power Slice, taught in 33 seconds with music. MangDynastys How to power-slice A simple guide. joe8hockeys Update: Simplified wind chart, now much easier to use. MangDynastys Matchmaking in Golf Clash, and how it is misunderstood and abused. Without the wind effect, your land point should be at the center yellow dot. GolfClashNotebook.ios Wind Chart Creator. ![]() One more example, this time we will use the Yellow Ring: Suppose there is an 8.2-level rightward wind as the arrow showing in the following pic (Every 3 levels of wind, the landing point will be one ring FARTHER from the center), then an 8.2-level rightward wind means your land point will be moved to around the white point place. Suppose there is a 6-level vertical upward wind as the arrow showing in the white circle(Every 3 levels of wind, the landing point will be one ring FARTHER from the center), then a 6-level vertical upward wind means your land point will be moved to the second ring. Using the rings on your target cursor as a guide you can pretty accurately adjust for the wind and get your shot to land where you want it to. Without the wind effect, your land point should be at the center white dot. Visualize a straight line from the center of the target circle, to the outside circle, going through the middle of the arrow. The easiest wind chart in golf clash ever Power ranking the different golf clash clubs Golf clash clubs play guide wind chart apps google store 9k upgrading views these commentsThe easiest wind chart in golf clash ever. Ive noticed he responds to some of these reviewes, but not too the ones about it being inaccurate. For a paid app, the dev needs to keep it updated. Most of the club wind numbers are wrong compared to golf clash notebook wind charts. The ball will always land in the center of the arrow. Would be extremely helpful if it was accurate. You can estimate the ball's landing point by observing the color of the outermost ring.įirst, remember to aim up your shot as if there is no wind, then bring where you think the value of the wind is on the target circle, to the exact spot where the center of the target circle is now. The ring method of Golf Rival has nothing to do with clubs. ![]() ![]() ![]() I feel like I know Schwarzenegger a bit better now, and so I have to give him and his co-author credit - they did their job. That said, whether you come away liking him or not, the personality of the man definitely shines through the pages, and that's what makes it a good autobiography for me. We seem to like someone who made something out of nothing, and give him free license to have bragging rights about it. In many ways, the success of Arnold Schwarzenegger - and the unapologetically arrogant air about him - is a reflection of the times we live in. Reading this book wasn't life-changing, but it certainly was thought-provoking. ![]() The book crescendos with Arnold's ten principles for success (almost like a summary for an essay-question answer you may have to write in a final exam), which as a reader felt both boring and condescending. From a gripping first ten or twelve chapters, where he takes you from a tiny town where he grew up into the little-known world of body building, where each page is a new revelation, the books slows in the second half, with reams upon reams of spiels about Schwarzenegger's politics, and how much he achieved while governor, and how many important people he got to know and "schmoozed" with (schmoozed, by the way, is his favourite word ever). Thanks Arnie, but personally, I'd have been content just to hear about your life experiences and judge both success and applicability to my life for myself.įor me, the first half was as interesting as the second half was boring. The subtext for me was: I'm wildly successful, if you want to be too, here's how. In fact, through and through, the style of writing leaves very little to your imagination - Arnold will tell you what happened, exactly what he (and the other person) said, what he thought and why - in fact, wait a few lines, and he'll even tell you whether it was the right or wrong thing to have done. Sure, he went to the top of his game in three completely diverse fields (body building, acting and politics) - but particularly towards the second half of the book, it gets annoying. What there is no doubt about, though, is that he's arrogant. If you want to be charitable, you'd call him driven and intentional if you want to be harsh, you'd say this guy was conniving and postured. His life didn't happen by accident - it was an outcome of years of hard work and chasing down carefully-set goals. What becomes apparent very soon is that this is someone who had huge ambition, tremendous tenacity and a calculating business mind. This book dispels one myth right away - the impression most people carry that Arnold, with all his muscle and Terminator films, is all brawn and no brains. ![]() The majority of his book is about his successes in the three major chapters in his life: bodybuilder, actor, and Governor of California. ![]() He devotes one chapter called "The Secret" to his extramarital affair. Schwarzenegger's autobiography, Total Recall, was released in October 2012. Schwarzenegger was married to Maria Shriver and has four children. In May 20, he was named as one of the Time 100 people who help shape the world. Schwarzenegger was sworn in for a second term on January 5, 2007. Schwarzenegger was then re-elected on November 7, 2006, in California's 2006 gubernatorial election, to serve a full term as governor, defeating Democrat Phil Angelides, who was California State Treasurer at the time. Schwarzenegger was sworn in on November 17, 2003, to serve the remainder of Davis's term. Schwarzenegger was nicknamed "The Austrian Oak" and "The Styrian Oak" in his bodybuilding days, "Arnold Strong" and "Arnie" during his acting career, and more recently "The Governator" (A portmanteau word of Governor and Terminator, one of his film roles).Īs a Republican, he was first elected on October 7, 2003, in a special recall election to replace then-Governor Gray Davis. Arnold Alois Schwarzenegger is an Austrian-American bodybuilder, actor, businessman and politician, and served as the 38th Governor of the state of California.Īrnold gained worldwide fame as a Hollywood action film icon. ![]() |
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